LONDON 鈥� The British government insisted Thursday that its forecast of food and medicine shortages, gridlock at ports and riots in the streets after a no-deal Brexit is an avoidable worst-case scenario, as Prime Minister Boris Johnson denied misleading Queen Elizabeth II about his reasons for suspending Parliament just weeks before the country is due to leave the European Union.
In better news for the embattled British leader, a Belfast court rejected claims that his聽Brexit strategy will harm Northern Ireland鈥檚 peace process.
Johnson took office in July vowing to get Brexit done on the scheduled October 31 date 鈥渄o or die鈥� and even if there is not a divorce deal to smooth the way. But many lawmakers, campaigners, economists, and businesses fear a no-deal Brexit would be economically devastating.
Lawmakers forced the government to publish its official assessment of the impact of leaving the EU on October 31 without a divorce agreement. The document described potential food and medicine shortages, gridlock at ports and riots in the streets.
Johnson insisted the bleak scenario was 鈥渘ot where we intend to end up.鈥�
鈥淭his is a worst-case scenario which civil servants obviously have to prepare for, but in the last few months, and particularly in the 50 days since I鈥檝e been prime minister, we鈥檝e been massively accelerating our preparations,鈥� he said.
Opposition politicians said the 鈥淥peration Yellowhammer鈥� document 鈥� the government鈥檚 code name for its Brexit preparations 鈥� proved that Johnson is reckless to consider leaving the EU without a deal.
Former Attorney General Dominic Grieve said it was extraordinary that a U.K. government 鈥渋s content on inflicting on the British public the level of disruption which is set out in the Yellowhammer papers.鈥�
Defense Secretary Ben Wallace said the scenario was a 鈥減lanning assumption鈥� and would only come true if the government did nothing to offset it.
鈥淲e are spending the money on doing lots of things to mitigate those assumptions,鈥� he told the BBC.
The six-page classified document, dated August 2, said the number of trucks crossing the main freight route between Calais and Dover would drop by between 40% and 60% within a day of a no-deal Brexit, with disruptions possibly lasting up to three months. The supply of certain types of fresh foods and essential medicines would decrease, prices would go up and poor people would be hit hardest, it said.
The paper also described major disruption for travelers between Britain and the EU, uncertainty for U.K. citizens living in Europe, and says attempts to maintain an open border between Ireland and Northern Ireland would probably fail. It also said a no-deal exit could trigger major protests and even riots.
The government refused to comply with another part of Parliament鈥檚 demand 鈥� that it hand over emails and texts among officials and aides discussing the government鈥檚 decision to suspend Parliament for more than a month before the Brexit deadline.
Michael Gove, the minister in charge of Brexit planning, said the request was inappropriate and disproportionate.
Opposition lawmakers and rebel Conservatives have dealt the government鈥檚 Brexit plans a series of blows. They passed a law that orders the government to seek a three-month delay to Brexit if no agreement has been reached by late October, rejected Johnson鈥檚 call for a snap general election and ordered the release of the Yellowhammer document.
Then on Tuesday, Johnson suspended Parliament for five weeks until Oct. 14, sparking outrage among legislators and several legal challenges.
The U.K. Supreme Court is set to consider next week whether the shutdown should be reversed, after conflicting rulings in lower courts.
Last week, the High Court in London said the decision was inherently political and 鈥渘ot a matter for the courts.鈥� But Scotland鈥檚 highest civil court ruled Wednesday that the shutdown was illegal 鈥渂ecause it had the purpose of stymieing Parliament.鈥�
Johnson insisted he suspended Parliament so that he can launch a fresh domestic agenda at a new session next month. He said he had 鈥渁bsolutely not鈥� misled the queen 鈥� whose formal approval was needed to suspend Parliament 鈥� about his motives.
In Northern Ireland, three linked cases had argued that a no-deal Brexit would undermine agreements between the British and Irish governments that were struck during the peace process.
A no-deal Brexit could lead to the return of a hard border between the U.K.鈥檚 Northern Ireland and EU member Ireland. An open border is crucial to the regional economy and underpins the peace process that ended decades of sectarian violence in Northern Ireland.
Judge Bernard McCloskey said the argument belonged in the world of politics, not law.
鈥淰irtually all of the assembled evidence belongs to the world of politics, both national and supra-national,鈥� he said.
If the claimants appeal the ruling, the case could join two other legal challenges to Johnson鈥檚 Brexit plans due to be heard at the U.K. Supreme Court next week.
Johnson said Thursday he was 鈥渨orking very hard鈥� to strike a new deal with the bloc after the agreement made by his predecessor Theresa May was rejected three times by Britain鈥檚 Parliament.
Johnson鈥檚 envoy David Frost has been holding talks in Brussels this week but no breakthrough has been made, and the EU says it is still waiting for firm proposals from the U.K.
The bloc鈥檚 chief Brexit negotiator, Michel Barnier, told reporters that 鈥渨e are still ready to examine objectively any concrete and legally operational proposals from the U.K.鈥� /kga