MANILA, Philippines鈥擳he past week has been somewhat encouraging for relatives of victims of Rodrigo Duterte鈥檚 violent anti-drug campaign as the International Criminal Court (ICC) decided to resume its investigation into the killings. But what鈥檚 next?
The ICC stressed that after a careful analysis of the materials provided to it, it was 鈥渘ot satisfied that the Philippines is undertaking relevant investigations that would warrant a deferral of the court鈥檚 investigations on the basis of the complementarity principle.鈥
RELATED STORY: PH鈥檚 鈥榖loodiest killing field鈥 not on DOJ list of drug campaign killings
Looking back, ICC suspended its investigation on Nov. 18, 2021 as a response to the government鈥檚 request for deferral, with the Philippine ambassador to the Netherlands saying that the Philippines has thorough investigations on the killings.
However, even if ICC Prosecutor Karim Khan said 鈥渢he prosecution has temporarily suspended its investigative activities鈥 while it assesses the Philippine government request, analysis of materials already collected will continue.
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Then over a year later, the ICC, last Jan. 26, said the government鈥檚 efforts 鈥渄o not amount to tangible, concrete and progressive investigative steps鈥 that sufficiently mirror the ICC investigation.
READ: Crimes against humanity: Justice out of reach for EJK victims in PH drug war
Not an easy process
Lawyer Rodel Taton said the Office of the Prosecutor (OTP), as a result, 鈥渟hall continue to conduct its investigations, such as to send missions composed of investigators, cooperation advisers, and if necessary, prosecutors, to the Philippines.鈥
Taton, dean of the Graduate School of Law of San Sebastian College-Recoletos, told that the ICC will 鈥渃ollect and examine different forms of evidence, and question a range of persons, from those being investigated to victims and witnesses.鈥
This won鈥檛 be easy, though.
鈥淭hese undertakings rely on the assistance and cooperation of state parties, international and regional organizations, as well as civil society. The OTP gathers evidence in order to establish the truth about a given situation,鈥 Taton said.
While based on the ICC proceedings, the OTP already hurdled the first stage, where the ICC prosecutor determines whether opening an ICC investigation would serve the interests of justice and of the victims.
So with the latest decision of the ICC, Khan鈥檚 office will now seek evidence to identify who is the most responsible for the crime committed鈥攃rimes against humanity, as in the case of the Philippines.
When evidence is gathered and the 鈥渟uspect鈥 is identified, the OTP can request ICC judges to issue an arrest warrant or a summons to appear. The arrest warrant is issued if the suspect does not appear voluntarily.
But if the requirements are not met for initiating an investigation, or if the situation or crimes do not fall within the ICC鈥檚 jurisdiction, the prosecution cannot investigate, but may seek again the confirmation of charges by presenting new evidence.
鈥楲ong and winding road鈥
Now, since the ICC heavily relies on the cooperation of member-states, lawyer Kristina Conti, assisting counsel for Rise Up for Life and for Rights, a group of relatives of the victims of Duterte鈥檚 anti-drug campaign, said the road to justice will be 鈥渓ong and winding.鈥
This, as the present and previous administrations already expressed that the Philippines will not cooperate with the ICC, with Justice Secretary Jesus Crispin Remulla saying that 鈥渢hey cannot come in here and impose themselves upon us.鈥
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鈥淚 don鈥檛 get why they insist on entering the Philippines in spite of the fact that we鈥檙e no longer members [鈥 I will not welcome them to the Philippines unless they make it clear that they will respect us in this regard,鈥 he said.
It was in 2019 when Duterte, who was then president, then decided to withdraw the Philippines from the Rome Statute, which created the ICC to investigate the world鈥檚 worst crimes鈥攇enocide, crimes against humanity, war crimes, and crime of aggression.
As in the case of the Philippines, crimes against humanity are serious violations committed as part of a large-scale attack against any civilian population. This include murder, rape, imprisonment, enforced disappearances, sexual slavery and torture, among others.
But even if the Philippines withdrew from the statute, the Supreme Court (SC) decided in 2021 that the Philippines still has the obligation to cooperate in criminal proceedings of the ICC.
This, as Article 27 of the statute, which was cited by the SC, states that 鈥渨ithdrawing from the Rome Statute does not discharge a state party from the obligations it has incurred as a member.鈥
鈥淚t is not easy, as the ICC depends on the cooperation of the states. Remember that the Philippines already withdrew from the Rome Statute that created the ICC,鈥 Taton stressed.
鈥淗earing the Department of Justice and some of the [possible] respondents in the investigation of the ICC speak about their reactions, it may indeed be quite difficult to bring them to ICC,鈥 Taton said.
Victims not losing hope
But even if the Philippine government refused to cooperate, Conti, secretary general of the National Union of People鈥檚 Lawyers-National Capital Region, said materials can be provided by institutions outside of government because what they need to prove at this stage is who is the most responsible.
She said the ICC would have to trace who ordered the commission of the crimes against humanity, which are so 鈥渨idespread and systematic.鈥 So what proof should you need for that? 鈥淚t鈥檚 the directive,鈥 she told.
As stressed by Conti, 鈥渙ur argument is the statements of Duterte ordering the killings and giving absolution to anybody who, in the course of the operations, kills someone.鈥 She said this was clear, stating that Duterte鈥檚 words were sweeping.
鈥淭hese encouraged the killings,鈥 she said. 鈥淪ince the beginning, the remark that Manila Bay will turn red instigated, encouraged and sanctioned the killings of thousands of Filipinos, most of them poor.鈥
READ: Duterte 鈥榢ill鈥 remarks vs drug, crime suspects: Figures of speech or policy?
Looking back, when former ICC Prosecutor Fatou Bensouda, who requested the ICC pre trial chamber to investigate the Philippine campaign against drugs, Duterte鈥檚 remarks found themselves being useful as evidence.
Bensouda said the words of Duterte and even other officials of the Philippines, 鈥渆ncouraging, supporting and, in certain instances, urging the public to kill suspected drug users and dealers鈥 indicate a State policy to attack civilians.
READ: 鈥楰ill, kill, kill鈥: Duterte鈥檚 words offer evidence in ICC
Conti said 鈥渁side from the verbal instruction, a written instruction is also useful.鈥 But while she acknowledged that it would be hard to find, there is a document that created the 鈥渟ubterfuge of a war鈥濃攖he Command Memorandum Circular (CMC) No. 16-2016.
As she explained, the government can argue that the said CMC did not give instruction to kill, but it stated the need to 鈥減ursue the neutralization of illegal drug personalities as well as the backbone of illegal drugs network operating in the country.鈥
鈥淟astly, testimonial evidence. Usually, mostly in ICC trials, they have a witness who will testify on how it really works within the organization鈥攊t can be an eye witness, but it can be someone in the middle ranks.鈥
鈥淕enerally, it will be three-part. You have to prove the crime, you have to prove who committed the crime, and for that, you have to establish who instructed, who was instructed, and how the instruction was given,鈥 she said.
Bloody war on the poor
Since the start of his presidency, Duterte was not known to hold anything back when the issue is about illegal drugs and even asked law enforcers to 鈥渟hoot-to-kill鈥 and assured he would 鈥減rotect and take care of them.鈥
His violent campaign against drugs was highly opposed as it resulted in several rights violations, including the deaths of 6,249 individuals who were killed in over 200,000 police drug operations since 2016. The casualty figure, however, is official government data.
Based on data from Drug Archive Philippines, the initiative of a research consortium led by the Ateneo School of Government, De La Salle Philippines, UP Diliman and Stabile Center for Investigative Journalism, most of the victims were low-level drug suspects.
This, as out of the 5,021 drug-related deaths between May 10, 2016 and Sept. 29, 2017, which had been compiled by the Ateneo Policy Center, only a few of those killed were known big time drug dealers.
Some 47 percent were alleged by police to be small-time drug suspects, 23 percent were individuals on watchlists compiled by police and local officials, and 8 percent were alleged by police to be drug users or addicts.
The rest were those alleged to be drug couriers (1 percent), alleged by police to be 鈥渘arco-politicians鈥 (1 percent), police officers accused of being involved in drugs (1 percent), and alleged by police to be drug lords (less than 1 percent).
Many of the dead were killed at home (24 percent) or their bodies were found on streets or alleys (27 percent). Some nine percent were killed or found dead in a vehicle, based on data from Drug Archive Philippines.
As mirrored in surveys, the war on drugs of the previous administration enjoyed approval from most Filipinos, with some 54 percent 鈥渧ery satisfied鈥 and 28 percent 鈥渟omewhat satisfied鈥 with the government鈥檚 campaign against illegal drugs.
However, based on a survey by the Social Weather Stations (SWS) on Dec. 13 to 16, 2019, four in five Filipinos believed that there were a lot of rights violations committed such as extrajudicial killings.
The SWS said 76 percent of Filipinos believed there were 鈥渕any鈥 rights violations committed in the war on drugs鈥33 percent believed there were 鈥渧ery many鈥 while 42 percent believed there were 鈥渟omewhat many.鈥
It said 60 percent of Filipinos agreed that the rich were spared, while the poor were killed in the course of the bloody anti-drug campaign, which rights groups said has claimed the lives of as many as 30,000 individuals.
But defending his campaign, Duterte said drug lords use satellite phones and satellite imaging, which makes them really hard to track.
Likewise, he said the drug campaign was less aggressive against rich drug users because they get high on cocaine and heroin, which he said were not as destructive to a person as methamphetamine hydrochloride, or shabu.
He explained that these were less harmful compared to shabu, which he said could cause the brain to shrink after six months to one year of addiction, making it less likely for them to discern what is right and wrong.
Worst-case scenario
Taton said the Rome statute that created the ICC had foreseen the possibility of non-cooperation, especially when leaders of a state may be respondents in the cases before it.
鈥淭hat is the reason why there are measures included in the procedures such as the continuance of the investigations, issuance of warrants of arrest or a summons should the matter be pursued by the prosecutor,鈥 he said.
READ: Next move for victims鈥 kin: Ask ICC to summon Duterte
He said 鈥渢he International community is not powerless, it can have individual actions or collective actions just to make a point for rule of law, justice and respect for human rights.鈥
But given the statements of officials, both from the present and previous administrations, expressing non-cooperation with the ICC, Conti said the worst case scenario is a possible suspension in the investigation and eventually, trial.
This, as she stressed that in the ICC, rules dictate that the suspect should be in custody because if the suspect is not arrested or does not appear, legal submission can be made, but hearings cannot begin.
Based on data from the ICC, there have so far been 31 cases before it, with some cases having more than one suspect, but while judges have already issued 38 arrest warrants, 14 people remain at large.
These included Abdallah Banda Abakeer Nourain, President of the Republic of Sudan since Oct. 16, 1993 at time of warrants and Ahmad Muhammad Harun, Minister of State for the Interior of the Government of Sudan at time of warrant.
Nourain is charged with five counts of crimes against humanity, while Harun was charged with 20 counts of crimes against humanity and 22 counts of war crimes, the ICC said on its website.
Hope lives where rule of law thrives
Conti said whoever will be identified as the most responsible for the alleged crimes against humanity in the Philippines could be safe from being arrested as long as he or she stays in the country, where the government already expressed non-cooperation.
However, 鈥渁 lot of things can change,鈥 Conti said, referring to the political climate that could change, especially every six years, when Filipinos elect a new president to lead the Philippines.
Likewise, she said arrests should be made only by member-states, but 鈥渢hey may also seek cooperation with the police or authorities of other non-member states.鈥
But Conti stressed that wherever the person of interest is, 鈥測ou鈥檙e a person at-large, you鈥檙e a person with a warrant,鈥 so 鈥淚 wouldn鈥檛 call it assurance that he or she is safe if he or she stays in the Philippines because technically, this person will be a fugitive from justice.鈥
Since 2002, the ICC already issued 10 convictions, which include the cases of these individuals:
- Ahmad Al Faqi Al Mahdi, alleged member of Ansar Eddine, a movement associated with Al Qaeda
Found guilty as a co-perpetrator of the war crime consisting in intentionally directing attacks against religious and historic buildings in Timbuktu, Mali. Sentenced to nine years of imprisonment.
- Germain Katanga, alleged commander of the Force de R茅sistance Patriotique en Ituri
Found guilty as an accessory to 1 count of crime against humanity and 4 counts of war crimes committed in the attack on the village of Bogoro, Ituri in the Democratic Republic of Congo. Sentenced to 12 years of imprisonment.
- Thomas Lubanga Dylio, former president of the Union des Patriotes Congolais/Forces Patriotiques pour la Lib茅ration du Congo
Found guilty of the war crimes of enlisting and conscripting children below the age of 15 years and using them to participate actively in hostilities. Sentenced to 14 years of imprisonment.
- Bosco Ntaganda, former Deputy Chief of Staff and commander of operations of the Forces Patriotiques pour la Lib茅ration du Congo
Found guilty of 18 counts of war crimes against humanity, which had been committed in Ituri, Democratic Republic of Congo. Sentenced to 30 years of imprisonment.
- Dominic Ongwen, Brigade Commander of the Sinia Brigade of the Lord鈥檚 Resistance Army
Found guilty of 61 crimes comprising crimes against humanity and war crimes, which had been committed in Northern Uganda. Sentenced to 25 years of imprisonment.
Given the statements of non-cooperation by government officials, Taton said 鈥渋t should rather be a question of whether the rule of law should prevail than the declarations of certain officials of non-cooperation.鈥
鈥淎fter all, we are still a people that values the rule of law. Otherwise, it proves that it is the rule of men that sustains in our justice system, in this country,鈥 he said.