BAGUIO CITY鈥擳he prolonged dry spell brought about by the El Ni帽o weather phenomenon has strained the city鈥檚 aquifers, prompting the local government to again resort to a water conservation drive until rains replenish the water table.
Even tourists are being asked to moderate their use of tap water, said city administrator Bonifacio dela Pe帽a at a briefing on Wednesday.
According to Dela Pe帽a, the strain on supply has become critical and will be a crisis in a worst-case scenario when strong rains do not fall by August.
But predictive models put out by the government weather bureau suggest that El Ni帽o may weaken by the end of May and there is a high chance that a La Ni帽a phenomenon characterized by high rainfall volume will affect Baguio and the rest of the country by July and August.
Baguio, because of its mountain terrain, is one of the communities that receive high rainfall, or an average 鈥渁nnual precipitation load of 4,000 millimeters of rain,鈥 according to the Asian Development Bank鈥檚 2023 profile of the city鈥檚 climate resilience and low-carbon urban development.
The city government has been studying natural catchment basins like the City Camp Lagoon for containing, treating and distributing rainwater delivered there from higher elevations in Baguio, Dela Pe帽a said.
Baguio also relies heavily on the 2-hectare rain basin built by American engineers on Mt. Santo Tomas, which was recently upgraded to accommodate 700,000 cubic meters (cu m) of rainwater. A cubic meter of water is equivalent to 1,000 liters or about five drums of water.
But Mayor Benjamin Magalong has again explored the possibility of securing bulk water services from big developers to solve Baguio鈥檚 perennial water problem, although residents would need to absorb high tariffs ranging from P100 to P139, he said.
Baguio, one of the country鈥檚 top tourist destinations, has been rationing its water supply since the 1980s, because of its rapid population growth and overdevelopment.
鈥淭here is a direct correlation between the depleted tree population and the inability to recharge the aquifer quickly,鈥 said Dela Pe帽a, a geodetic engineer.
Trees, he said, help the soil absorb and discharge runoff rainwater beneath the surface.
However, expanded settlements and widespread concreting in most parts of Baguio have left its remaining watersheds and forestlands covering only 9.81 percent of the city鈥檚 57 square-hectare territory, according to several studies.
The 2019 Baguio urban carrying capacity report has estimated that water resources for the current population (366,358 as of the 2020 census) have been breached since 2002 because the population threshold for water was 267,546 people.
This year, the Baguio Water District (BWD) will produce 46,423.88 cu m of water daily to fill the demand of 44,753 consumers; up from the 45,066.02 cu m it generated each day for 44,607 consumers in 2023, according to a BWD projection chart.
But unless population and migration are controlled by 2031, demand from a projected population of 57,953 would exceed supply (55,452 cu m), the utility said.
Extreme heat
BWD has yet to issue an official statement on the current water supply status, but an official of the utility, who asked not to be named in this report, says the city has more supply now because of newly developed sources, although demand has been high because of the extreme heat.
A few commercial deep wells that deliver water for a fee to augment tap water supplied by BWD have reported suffering low water pressure during the El Ni帽o months, Dela Pe帽a said.
鈥淲e have [commercial deep well operations] which have served Baguio for 30 years but have been depleted,鈥 he said.
Rain harvesting is still a viable measure for sustaining Baguio鈥檚 water, and many of the city鈥檚 oldest households have been storing rainwater.
鈥淏ut the long-term solution is bulk water, definitely,鈥 Dela Pe帽a said, noting that this would prevent the city aquifer from being depleted.
He said several bulk water proponents have suggested building a series of five pumping stations that would deliver water to the city.
Dela Pe帽a did not name these proponents but said consumers would have to bear the cost of pumping up water, which could entail as much as P139 per cu m, which is higher than the current P40 rate.