WASHINGTON, United States鈥擯resident Barack Obama has asked key advisors to draw up options for ratcheting up the fight against the Islamic State of Iraq and Syria (ISIS) group, including opening a new front in Libya.
Eighteen months after a US-led coalition began airstrikes against ISIS in Iraq and Syria, multiple administration sources said Friday that the White House wants to speed up and broaden the effort.
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Efforts will deepen to retake Raqa in Syria, Mosul in Iraq and to check the jihadists鈥 growth in Afghanistan, but there is an increasing focus on Libya.
Potential options are said to range from intensified air strikes to participation in a UN-backed ground force that would help take Libya鈥檚 estimated 3,000 ISIS fighters.
Officials caution that Obama has not yet been presented with concrete military plans, though the security situation is acute.
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鈥淎ction in Libya is needed before Libya becomes a sanctuary for ISIL (or ISIS), before they become extremely hard to dislodge,鈥 said one US defense official.
鈥淲e don鈥檛 want a situation like in Iraq or Syria.鈥
Since rebels and Western airpower toppled Moamer Kadhafi鈥檚 regime in 2011, the country has effectively lacked a government.
In the chaos a disparate group of foreign fighters, homegrown militiamen, tribes and remnants of the Libyan Islamic Fighting Group have coalesced around the ISIS banner and gained a foothold.
Jihadists have recently taken control of Kadhafi鈥檚 home town of Sirte, a strategic port near oilfields that could provide a lucrative source of income.
Next steps
Until now, US involvement in Libya has been limited to isolated airstrikes and the deployment of US special forces, who are building ties with local armed groups and providing intelligence.
In November, an American F-16 fighter jet struck the eastern town of Derna, killing Abu Nabil鈥攁lso known as Wissam Najm Abd Zayd al-Zubaydi鈥攖he local ISIS leader.
On Thursday, Obama convened his National Security Council to discuss current operations and the next steps.
鈥淭he president directed his national security team to continue efforts to strengthen governance and support ongoing counterterrorism efforts in Libya and other countries where ISIL has sought to establish a presence,鈥 according to a White House account of the meeting.
Republicans, with one eye on November鈥檚 US presidential election, have pilloried Obama and one-time secretary of state Hillary Clinton for not doing more to prevent ISIS鈥檚 rise.
鈥淐ongress has been calling for a real strategy from the president to defeat ISIS,鈥 said a spokesman for House Speaker Paul Ryan.
鈥淲e鈥檒l see whether this is just more talk or if it will be backed up with the will and the resources necessary for victory.鈥
Further steps鈥攊ncluding ground operations鈥攁re likely to depend on Libyans鈥 ability to form a Government of National Accord, which the UN is still trying to bring together.
鈥淭here needs to be a political solution to get a military solution,鈥 said another defense official, echoing comments from diplomats.
鈥淲e hope that there is the beginning of a political solution so that there is a legitimate government that can invite us to go after ISIL.鈥
Washington is also looking to European nations鈥攆acing a more acute threat from the collapse of a country a short distance across the Mediterranean鈥攖o play a leading role, including former Libyan colonial power Italy.
Obama will host the Italian head of state, President Sergio Mattarella, at the White House on February 8.
France and Britain are also slated as possible contributors.
Secretary of State John Kerry is expected to meet his European counterparts in Rome on February 2.
鈥淭he idea is to have a coalition of nations,鈥 a defense official said.
Some security experts say the deteriorating situation on the ground may leave the administration few options but to launch a ground campaign, even if the long-term path is unclear.
鈥淭he unfortunate reality is that this is a bad option, but it鈥檚 the only one,鈥 said Patrick Skinner, a former CIA case officer now with The Soufan Group, a consultancy.
IS-linked terror attacks from Turkey to Indonesia have sharpened concerns about the group鈥檚 reach and potency, even as it suffers losses in Mesopotamia.
鈥淭hey cannot let the Islamic State run Libya, they just can鈥檛.鈥
鈥淭hey are holding really key spots. You can鈥檛 let the Islamic State have a port, that鈥檚 insane.鈥
According to Karim Mezran, a Libya expert at the Atlantic Council, any government in Libya is unlikely to survive without foreign support and would have to invite in foreign troops in.
鈥淲ithout an international force of support there is no way the new government can ever get into Tripoli,鈥 he said.