The death penalty bill is unlikely to pass in the Senate, according to a count by Sen. Panfilo Lacson.
But Sen. Manny Pacquiao disagrees, saying his tally shows otherwise.
A day after the House of Representatives passed its version of the bill reimposing the death penalty by a vote of 217-54 with one abstention, senators made their fearless forecasts.
鈥淏ased on my count, it鈥檚 unlikely (to pass) in the Senate,鈥 Lacson told reporters.
鈥淚t has not reached 12,鈥 he said, referring to senators favoring the bill, a key element in President Duterte鈥檚 war on drugs.
Lacson, an independent, said there was no pressure in the chamber to follow the House lead.
鈥淲e will vote on the basis of our beliefs, our convictions and what we think is right in our decision,鈥 he said.
Senate Majority Leader Vicente Sotto III said senators had stated that the bill was not a priority but had promised to act on it.
Sen. Richard Gordon, chair of the justice committee, has indefinitely shelved the bill until the Department of Justice issues an opinion about its impact on the Philippines鈥 commitments under international conventions banning the death penalty.
Sotto said Gordon had not provided a timeline on when the committee planned to report out the bill for plenary deliberations.
Sotto said he expected a long debate鈥攑ossibly lasting three to four weeks鈥攂eginning in May, when Congress returns from its Holy Week break.
Pacquiao, who filed three separate bills for the revival of the death penalty, exuded confidence.
鈥淗ere there is a big possibility that it will go through because drug offenses are our target,鈥 he said.
Pacquiao said 鈥14 or 15鈥 senators were in favor of the measure.
Wisdom of death penalty
He said he would explain to his colleagues the wisdom of restoring the death penalty.
鈥淲e鈥檙e not talking about the law of the land, which is the authority. The authority that is established by God, and God giving the authority, the right to use capital punishment. They should understand that,鈥 said the boxing champ, a born-again Christian.
Senate President Aquilino Pimentel III said in a recent interview that the bill could go either way, 10 to 14.
Sen. Franklin Drilon said he expected members and allies in the chamber to adhere to the Liberal Party (LP) position and vote against the bill.
He referred to Senate President Pro Tempore Ralph Recto, Risa Hontiveros and Antonio Trillanes IV.
鈥淚t鈥檚 an uphill battle,鈥 Drilon said. 鈥淲e have taken an LP stand 鈥 We鈥檒l present strong arguments against it.鈥
Sen. Francis Pangilinan, the LP president, also expected a close vote. 鈥淥ur argument is that it is antipoor and that this is not a deterrent 鈥 There is also the issue that there are chances that [convicts will be put on death row] by mistake. An alleged drug lord may have just been framed,鈥 he said.
鈥淚 still believe that, in the final analysis, if there is a speedy trial, if there is speedy punishment, if trials do not take years, if conviction rate is high 鈥 it is clear that people will have respect and fear of the law. That鈥檚 the solution, not the death penalty,鈥 he said.
CBCP condemns House action
Members of the Catholic Bishops鈥 Conference of the Philippines issued separate statements condemning the House action.
鈥淢ay God have mercy on us! I appeal to our people to continue to pray that our senators will rise to the occasion,鈥 said Bishop Gerardo Alminaza of San Carlos City in Negros Occidental.
鈥淲e hope this will not pass in the Senate,鈥 said Lipa Archbishop Ramon Arguelles. 鈥淚 am more convinced that we need genuine national transformation. The leaders fail to listen to the sentiments of the great majority and choose to disobey God to keep themselves in power and cater to the ruling elite.鈥
Balanga Bishop Ruperto Santos said: 鈥淲ith their decision, they have given the death sentence to our imprisoned OFWs (overseas Filipino workers). What is now our moral ascendancy to ask for clemency wherein our government imposes the death penalty?鈥